20190409-The Dollar will Die with a WHimper not a Bang


Jim Rickards (The Dollar will Die with a Whimper not a Bang)

-The significance of the process by which the dollar replaced sterling over a 30-year period (1914-1944) has huge implications.  The sterling gradually lost its position as the reserve currency starting WWI in 1914 then officially die on the 1944 Bretton Woods conference.
- Slippage in the dollar’s role as the leading global reserve currency is not necessarily something that would happen overnight, but is more likely to be a slow, steady process.
-China is emerging to challenge the US today just as the US emerged to challenge the UK in 1914.
-The U.S. had massive gold inflows from 1914-1944. China has officially been amassing gold for years.
-China’s gold acquisition is not the result of a formal gold standard, but is happening by stealth acquisitions on the market. They’re using intelligence and military assets, covert operations and market manipulation. But the result is the same. Gold’s been flowing to China in recent years, just as gold flowed to the U.S. before Bretton Woods.
-Russia has greatly increased its gold reserves over the past several years and has little external debt. 
-Iran has also imported massive amounts of gold, mostly through Turkey and Dubai, although no one knows the exact amount, because Iranian gold imports are a state secret.
-Other countries, including BRICS members Brazil, India and South Africa, have joined Russia and China to build institutions that could replace the balance of payments lending of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the development lending of the World Bank. 
-Saudi Arabia itself is threatening to undermine the dollar.
-There is the world super-money, the special drawing right (SDR), which I expect will also be used to diminish the role of the dollar.
-The dollar collapse has already begun, but it will be a process, not an event.   It will happen gradually and not over-night.

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